Posted by: Marshall Sponder | February 23, 2008

Does anyone really know what is going to happen in November?

Kinda interesting how quickly events are moving in Presidential Politics, just a couple of weeks ago New York voted in the Democratic Primary and it seemed that Hillary Clinton’s candidacy was still viable – but now, it’s being question and it appears that a withdrawal is inevitable, probably right after the next round of primaries early in March.

And yet, if you look at the delegate counts right now – on Feburary 23rd, 2008, it’s a draw, really:

Delegates won: Feb. 12 Total 2,025 needed
Barack Obama 88 1,117
Hillary Rodham Clinton 48 1,112

What happened? From the New York Times – The Early Word: Hard Times for Hillary Clinton but I suspect the problem is one I noticed several weeks ago and tried to resist, and that new ads being run by Clinton don’t actually address ( see Clinton Goes Up With New Ads) – the reason why people are going over to Obama, especially Independents, is based on an emotional response, not so much about reason.

Hillary got more millage out of being emotional and real than all the other stuff she’s been talking about. Look, Hillary has actually accomplished a lot more than Barack Obama but she does not seem to appeal to the emotional need of people or actually embody change. In other words, she may have worked towards change, and helped make it happen, but she, herself, does not represent, in the mind of voters, more and more, the essence of Change.

For better or worse, that’s what people want now – Change. Will Obama win in November? It’s going to be tough – those who are in control will try a number of things to sabotage the election – that’s clear, and I could name a bunch of things that could be done and a bunch I can’t even think of.

But one thing those in control can’t entirely control, is the reaction of Independents like this one

Or his later response.

And a recent article on A declaration on independents from the Economist sums it all up.

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Responses

  1. THIS IS TERRIBLE….THIS IS RAPE….THIS COULD BE YOUR CHILD…CAN WE SUPPORT HILLARY AFTER KNOWING THIS? READ THE LINK
    http://sweetness-light.com/archive/hillary-versus-the-allegedly-raped-child


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